AI leaders are extended, not broken
Market note · Jun 30, 2026
The model is reducing concentration into strength. Breakouts are still valid, but position sizing has to respect gap risk.
Pilot studio
Publish simulated decisions, explain risk, and keep the follower-facing strategy product current.
Pilot studio disclosure
Follower capital
$3.3M
Paper AUM following this model
Subscribers
672
+38 net in 30 days
Revenue model
$100,128
$1,201,536 annual run-rate
Public return
+56.8%
3 visible decisions
Performance history
Indexed to 100 at inception window
Follower growth
Studio focus
Subscribers are responding to trade rationale posts. Keep risk notes explicit while the strategy carries higher beta exposure.
Recent model trades
Simulated orders mirrored into follower paper portfolios
| Date | Action | Ticker | Size | Price | P/L | Mirrored | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | Trim | NVDA NVIDIA | 2.0% | $126.30 | 31.0% | 644 | Trimmed after parabolic four-day move; core position remains intact. |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Buy | AVGO Broadcom | 5.0% | $168.20 | Open | 631 | Relative strength breakout after order commentary improved. |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Sell | ARM Arm Holdings | 4.5% | $141.10 | -7.8% | 618 | Stopped out after failed breakout and volume reversal. |
Current model portfolio
Open holdings visible to followers in paper mode
| Ticker | Asset | Weight | Avg entry | Current | Unrealized | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | NVIDIA | 15.5% | $96.40 | $124.80 | 29.5% | Still leading accelerator demand and software attach. |
| SMH | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 14.0% | $219.70 | $252.30 | 14.8% | Basket exposure while single-name dispersion remains elevated. |
| AVGO | Broadcom | 9.8% | $147.90 | $173.50 | 17.3% | Custom silicon backlog supports momentum continuation. |
| MSFT | Microsoft | 8.5% | $421.40 | $446.10 | 5.9% | AI capex beneficiary with strong enterprise demand. |
| AMZN | Amazon | 7.8% | $181.70 | $196.40 | 8.1% | AWS acceleration with margin recovery. |
Content feed preview
Updates visible on the public pilot profile and subscriber experience
AI leaders are extended, not broken
Market note · Jun 30, 2026
The model is reducing concentration into strength. Breakouts are still valid, but position sizing has to respect gap risk.
Broadcom add rationale
Trade rationale · Jun 23, 2026
Custom accelerator demand and relative strength both improved. I added with a defined exit under the prior breakout level.
Studio activity
Trim NVDA published
Jun 30, 2026
Trimmed after parabolic four-day move; core position remains intact.
Buy AVGO published
Jun 23, 2026
Relative strength breakout after order commentary improved.
Sell ARM published
Jun 9, 2026
Stopped out after failed breakout and volume reversal.
AI leaders are extended, not broken
Market note · Public
The model is reducing concentration into strength. Breakouts are still valid, but position sizing has to respect gap risk.
Broadcom add rationale
Trade rationale · Subscribers
Custom accelerator demand and relative strength both improved. I added with a defined exit under the prior breakout level.